The breakaway Moldovan region of Transdniestria (Trans-Dniester) on 1 January 2025 cut heating and hot water supplies to households after Russia stopped supplying gas via Ukraine. Transdniestria heavily relies on Russian support, including energy supplies, to sustain its population and de facto governance.
Key Points:
- Historical Context:
- Transdniestria declared independence from Moldova after the Soviet Union’s collapse in 1991 but remains unrecognized internationally.
- The region has consistently leaned toward Russia, maintaining economic, political, and military ties with Moscow.
- 15,000 Russian troops stationed in the region signify Moscow’s strategic interest and influence in Transdniestria.
- The 2006 referendum reiterated the region’s desire for independence and potential integration with Russia, further complicating its relations with Moldova and the West.
- Gas Supply Halt:
- The gas cut-off is a direct result of the expiry of a transit agreement between Russia and Ukraine, compounded by the ongoing war between the two nations.
- This development highlights the vulnerability of Transdniestria’s infrastructure and its dependence on external support.
- Broader Implications:
- The current gas crisis may exacerbate humanitarian challenges and increase regional tensions.
- Moldova faces additional pressure as it contends with the de facto authority in Transdniestria and its alignment with Russia.
